{"id":3287,"date":"2016-09-22T14:21:47","date_gmt":"2016-09-22T14:21:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/?p=3287"},"modified":"2016-09-22T06:43:15","modified_gmt":"2016-09-22T06:43:15","slug":"pascalin-din-uzerine-olasilik-hesabi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/?p=3287","title":{"rendered":"Pascal&#8217;\u0131n Din \u00dczerine Olas\u0131l\u0131k Hesab\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/?p=3291\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>PASCAL K\u0130MD\u0130R? t\u0131kla \u00f6\u011fren<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn matemati\u011fin nas\u0131l da farkl\u0131 alanlarda kullan\u0131labildi\u011fine bir kez daha \u015fahit oluyorum. Bug\u00fcn arkada\u015f\u0131m\u0131n okudu\u011fu kitapta bu farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m alanlar\u0131ndan belki de en ilgincini farkettim.<strong>Adam FAWER<\/strong>\u2018\u0131n\u00a0<strong>Olas\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z<\/strong>\u00a0isimli kitab\u0131nda \u00fcnl\u00fc Frans\u0131z matematik\u00e7i\u00a0<strong>Pascal<\/strong>\u2018\u0131n hayat\u0131n\u0131 dine adarken kullanm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu olas\u0131l\u0131k hesab\u0131na de\u011finilmi\u015f. Kitapta ge\u00e7en form\u00fcl\u00fc aynen aktar\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPascal beklenen de\u011fer teorisini kullanarak hayat\u0131n\u0131 dine adamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini kan\u0131tlad\u0131. Her matematik\u00e7i gibi o da, bu soruyu bir form\u00fcle indirgedi.\u201d<br \/>\nHangisi daha b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr?<br \/>\na) Beklenen de\u011fer (hedonizm yani fiziksel ya\u015famdan zevk alma)<br \/>\nYa da<br \/>\nb) Beklenen de\u011fer (dini hayat)<br \/>\nVarsay\u0131m\u2026<br \/>\na) Olas\u0131l\u0131k (\u00f6l\u00fcmden sonra hayat yok) * (hedonizmden al\u0131nacak zevk) +<br \/>\nOlas\u0131l\u0131k (\u00f6l\u00fcmden sonra hayat var) * (sonsuza dek lanetlenmek) Ve<br \/>\nb) Olas\u0131l\u0131k (\u00f6l\u00fcmden sonra hayat yok) * (dinden al\u0131nacak zevk)<br \/>\nOlas\u0131l\u0131k (\u00f6l\u00fcmden sonra hayat var)* (sonsuz mutluluk)<\/p>\n<p>Pascal\u2019\u0131n mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok basitti: E\u011fer (a) (b)\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fckse o zaman hedonizme devam edecekti, ama<br \/>\ne\u011fer (a) (b)\u2019den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckse o zaman dindar olmal\u0131yd\u0131.\u201d<br \/>\n\u201cAma de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin de\u011ferlerini bilmeden bu denklemi nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6zd\u00fc?\u201d diye sordu Michael.<br \/>\n\u201cBirka\u00e7 varsay\u0131mda bulundu, \u00f6rne\u011fin, sonsuz mutlulu\u011fun de\u011feri pozitif sonsuzdu ve sonsuza dek<br \/>\nlanetlenmenin de\u011feri negatif sonsuzdu.\u201d<br \/>\nSonsuz mutluluk = +00<br \/>\nSonsuza dek lanetlenmek =-00<br \/>\n\u201cE\u011fer bir denklemde sonsuzu kullan\u0131rsan\u0131z bu di\u011fer her \u015feyi etkiler, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir say\u0131d\u0131r,<br \/>\nb\u00f6ylece (a) hedonizmin beklenen de\u011feri negatif sonsuz ve (b) dini hayat\u0131n beklenen de\u011feri pozitif<br \/>\nsonsuz.\u201d<br \/>\n(a) hedonizm = -00 ve (b) din = +00<br \/>\no zaman<br \/>\n{a)&lt; (b) b\u00f6ylece&#8230;<br \/>\n(b) beklenen de\u011fer (hedonizm) &lt; beklenen de\u011fer (dini hayat)<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<strong>Anlad\u0131n\u0131z m\u0131? \u00d6l\u00fcmden sonra insan\u0131n ruhunun ya\u015famas\u0131n\u0131n veya her hangi bir \u015fekilde bir hayat olmas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ne kadar az olursa olsun, Pascal\u2019\u0131n dine ba\u011fl\u0131 bir hayat ya\u015famas\u0131ndan bekledi\u011fi getiri, yine de d\u00fcnyevi zevklerle hedonistik bir ya\u015fam s\u00fcr\u00fcp de sonsuza dek lanetlenmeyi g\u00f6ze alaca\u011f\u0131 bir durumun getirisinden daha b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr<\/strong>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum da biz de hayat\u0131m\u0131zda hamlelerimizi yapmadan \u00f6nce matemati\u011fi kullansak nas\u0131l olur? Daha do\u011fru kararlar, daha az hata ve daha mutlu bir hayat, neden olmas\u0131n ;)<\/p>\n<p>kaynak: yakuter.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PASCAL K\u0130MD\u0130R? t\u0131kla \u00f6\u011fren Her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn matemati\u011fin nas\u0131l da farkl\u0131 alanlarda kullan\u0131labildi\u011fine bir kez daha \u015fahit oluyorum. Bug\u00fcn arkada\u015f\u0131m\u0131n okudu\u011fu kitapta bu farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m alanlar\u0131ndan belki de en ilgincini farkettim.Adam FAWER\u2018\u0131n\u00a0Olas\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z\u00a0isimli kitab\u0131nda \u00fcnl\u00fc Frans\u0131z matematik\u00e7i\u00a0Pascal\u2018\u0131n hayat\u0131n\u0131 dine adarken kullanm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu olas\u0131l\u0131k hesab\u0131na de\u011finilmi\u015f. Kitapta ge\u00e7en form\u00fcl\u00fc aynen aktar\u0131yorum. \u201cPascal beklenen de\u011fer teorisini kullanarak hayat\u0131n\u0131 &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[911,912,910],"class_list":["post-3287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel","tag-matematikciler-ve-din","tag-pascal-ucgeninin-bilinmeyen-yonu","tag-pascalin-din-uzerine-olasilik-hesabi"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2YBEC-R1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3287"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3287\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ragipsahin.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}